UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick SIU Edwardsvil
  
SIU Edwardsville      
W-L: ( 2- 9) PR = 87.5441

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 0- 8 207 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 5- 4 213 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 2 214 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 7 221 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 10- 6 222 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 0- 8 227 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 0-10 310 H Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 0- 5 324 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 0- 8 407 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 2- 8 422 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 0- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Fresno State            0- 8      -8    -5    -     -3.21
   207 A Fresno State            5- 4       1    -5    ++     5.79
   213 A Sam Houston             1- 2      -1    -5    +      3.84
   214 H Louisiana Tech          3- 7      -4    -5           0.50
   221 H North Texas            10- 6       4    -4    +++    8.17
   222 A North Texas             0- 8      -8    -6    -     -2.35
   227 H Pittsburgh              0-10     -10    -2    ---   -7.57
   310 H Minnesota               0- 5      -5    -3    -     -2.08
   324 H Missouri                0- 8      -8    -6          -1.79
   407 A Missouri State          2- 8      -6    -4    -     -2.00
   422 A Missouri                0- 7      -7    -8           0.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Pittsburgh              0-10     -10    -2    ---   -7.57
   206 A Fresno State            0- 8      -8    -5    -     -3.21
   222 A North Texas             0- 8      -8    -6    -     -2.35
   310 H Minnesota               0- 5      -5    -3    -     -2.08
   407 A Missouri State          2- 8      -6    -4    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H North Texas            10- 6       4    -4    +++    8.17
   207 A Fresno State            5- 4       1    -5    ++     5.79
   213 A Sam Houston             1- 2      -1    -5    +      3.84

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Fresno State    (22-23, 91.6)     0- 8       -8.30      11.07       0.74         2.29            -8.66
   3 A Fresno State    (22-23, 91.6)     5- 4       -8.30      11.07       0.74         2.29            54.11
   3 A Sam Houston     (29-27, 91.6)     1- 2       -8.26      11.11       0.74         2.29            -8.61
   3 H Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     3- 7       -7.11      12.26      -0.74         2.29            -9.00
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)    10- 6       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         2.29            51.25
   3 A North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     0- 8       -7.44      11.93       0.74         2.29            -7.68
   3 H Pittsburgh      (26-25, 90.7)     0-10       -9.19      10.18      -0.74         2.29           -11.37
   3 H Minnesota       (16-36, 91.2)     0- 5       -8.70      10.67      -0.74         2.29           -10.82
   3 H Missouri        (24-31, 94.5)     0- 8       -5.40      13.97      -0.74         2.29            -7.04
   3 A Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     2- 8       -9.10      10.27       0.74         2.29            -9.58
   3 A Missouri        (24-31, 94.5)     0- 7       -5.40      13.97       0.74         2.29            -5.34
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        27.27

winning pts = 105.3686 losing points = -78.0971

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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